UTEP vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 11

Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • Louisville is a -15.5 point favorite vs UTEP
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • UTEP / Louisville TV channel: ESPN+

The UTEP Miners visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Dec. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The UTEP vs. Louisville Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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UTEP vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP+15.5 -115O 144.5 -115+825
Louisville -15.5 -105U 144.5 -105-1400

UTEP vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTEP vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

UTEP Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTEP has a 2-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -42.35% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.62% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.06% ROI
  • 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.85 Units / -78.89% ROI
  • 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.95 Units / 70.2% ROI

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (453 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

UTEP had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (407 assists/ 453 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UTEP made 5.6 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UTEP had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (343 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP averaged 11.4 steals per game (354 steals/31 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UTEP forced 18.5 turnovers per game (575 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UTEP stole the ball 354 times last season — 3rd most among Division 1 Teams

UTEP stole the ball 354 times last season — most among Conference USA Teams

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.