UTSA vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 27

BetMGM Betting Nov 27, 2024, 9:35 AM

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(AP Photo)

Merrimack is a -1.5 point favorite vs UTSA
Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
UTSA / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners visit Trojan Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Nov. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Troy, AL.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The UTSA vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UTSA	+1.5 -110	O 138.5 -110	+105
Merrimack	-1.5 -110	U 138.5 -110	-125

UTSA vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this college basketball game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTSA vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.

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UTSA Basketball Best Bets Today:

UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)
UTSA has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:

Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 0-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -100% ROI
2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 2-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI).

1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -38.33% ROI
2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA shot 41% (761/1,853) last season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UTSA had an eFG% of 49% last season — 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UTSA had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UTSA averaged 35% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (643 free throw attempts/1,853 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (168 assists/ 185 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack averaged 69.0 points per game (2,209 points/32 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

UTSA allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (241/674) last season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Merrimack stole the ball 314 times last season — 10th most among Division 1 Teams