UTSA vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 03, 2024, 9:48 AM
  • Saint Mary’s is a -23.5 point favorite vs UTSA
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • UTSA / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Dec. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Moraga, CA.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-110).

The UTSA vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA+23.5 -110O 144.5 -110+2200
Saint Mary’s -23.5 -110U 144.5 -110-10000

UTSA vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTSA vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 66% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 33 games (+26.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 1-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -29.94% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 1-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.7 Units / -73.08% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.97% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA shot 41% (761/1,853) last season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UTSA had an eFG% of 49% last season — 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UTSA had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UTSA averaged 35% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (643 free throw attempts/1,853 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (468 assists/ 317 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s shot 46% (820/1,772) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Saint Mary’s averaged 15.6 assists per game (468 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA averaged 5.1 steals per game (149 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UTSA allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (2,335 points/1,836 shots) last season — tied for highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

UTSA allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (241/674) last season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Saint Mary’s averaged 6.7 steals per game (200 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.