- Drake is a -13.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
- Valparaiso / Drake TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs on Jan. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Des Moines, IA, USA.
Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Valparaiso vs. Drake Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +13.5 -105 | O 129.5 -110 | +775 |
| Drake | -13.5 -115 | U 129.5 -110 | -1400 |
Valparaiso vs Drake Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Drake Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Drake Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Drake has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+17.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- Drake has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Drake has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Drake have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.33% ROI
- 7-10 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -21.6% ROI
Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Drake has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 6.27% ROI
- 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
- 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Valparaiso has 22.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.5
Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:
Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Drake had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Drake shot 37% from three (276/748) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 5.6 steals per game (107 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Valparaiso has averaged 5.6 steals per game (107 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Valparaiso has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (125/405) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:
Drake has 164 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Drake averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (858 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Drake has averaged 7.4 steals per game (370 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Drake has 370 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams
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