- Missouri State (14-11) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (14-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
- Valparaiso / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+
The Valparaiso Beacons (14-11) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (14-11) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).
The Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Valparaiso | +12.5 -105 | O 144.5 -105 | +600 |
| Missouri State | -12.5 -115 | U 144.5 -115 | -900 |
Valparaiso vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.7% ROI).
- 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -41.72% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.72% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -7.86% ROI
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 8.54% ROI
- 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.35% ROI
- 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.55% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso is shooting 41% (596/1,457) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Valparaiso has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,630 points/1,457 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Valparaiso has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Valparaiso has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has 602 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Missouri State has averaged 68.1 points per game (3,812 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5
Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (174/556) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (658 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (642/1,398) this season — 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,133 points/3,280 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (605 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (706 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,703 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Missouri State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (108 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
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