VCU vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton (15-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs VCU (17-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • VCU / Dayton TV channel: ESPN2

The VCU Rams (17-11) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers (15-13) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The VCU vs. Dayton Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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VCU vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
VCU+7.5 -110O 136.5 -110+280
Dayton -7.5 -110U 136.5 -110-350

VCU vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

VCU vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts VCU will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • VCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • VCU have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • VCU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)

VCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VCU has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.53% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.65 Units / -11.04% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 11.52% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.95 Units / 15.57% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -24.22% ROI

VCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has averaged 71.8 points per game (1,652 points/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

VCU has averaged 1.33 points per shot (4,132 points/3,115 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

VCU has made 885 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU is shooting 36% from three (189/531) this season — 5th lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

VCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

VCU has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

VCU has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

VCU has averaged 7.7 steals per game (445 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

VCU has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.