- March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
- Duke (18-13) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Vermont (14-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Vermont / Duke TV channel: CBS
The Vermont Catamounts (14-18) visit Barclays Center to take on the Duke Blue Devils (18-13) on Mar. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Brooklyn, NY.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Vermont vs. Duke Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Vermont vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vermont | +11.5 -105 | O 132.5 -115 | +575 |
| Duke | -11.5 -115 | U 132.5 -105 | -900 |
Vermont vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Vermont vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Vermont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 30 games (+20.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vermont have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+3.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Vermont has a 14-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / -16.45% ROI).
- 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.2 Units / 13.63% ROI
- 9-23 when betting the Over for -16.3 Units / -46.31% ROI
- 23-9 when betting the Under for +13.1 Units / 37.22% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.51% ROI).
- 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -6.06% ROI
- 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.85 Units / -22.33% ROI
- 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 13.33% ROI
Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (335 assists/ 200 TOs) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (800 assists/ 503 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Vermont has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (200 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Vermont has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (200 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has averaged 5.2 steals per game (126 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Vermont has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (615 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.8
Vermont has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,527 points/24 games) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 72.9
Vermont has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,416 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
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