- Vermont (9-13) is a -12.5 point favorite vs UMBC (12-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- Vermont / UMBC TV channel: ESPN+
The Vermont Catamounts (9-13) visit Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena to take on the UMBC Retrievers (12-11) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).
The Vermont vs. UMBC Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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Vermont vs. UMBC Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vermont | -12.5 -105 | O 147.5 -105 | -750 |
| UMBC | +12.5 -115 | U 147.5 -115 | +525 |
Vermont vs UMBC Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Vermont will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Vermont vs UMBC Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Vermont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Vermont has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).
- 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 12.34% ROI
- 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI
- 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.3 Units / 30.17% ROI
UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMBC has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).
- 6-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -50.59% ROI
- 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI
- 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI
Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (791 assists/ 497 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Vermont has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (326 assists/ 194 TOs) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Vermont has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 51%
UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has a 25% free throw rate (370 free throw attempts/1,484 field goal attempts) this season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC has 16.1 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3
UMBC has averaged 79.3 points per game (1,823 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 75.2
UMBC has made 8.3 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has averaged 5.3 steals per game (121 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Vermont has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (209 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Vermont has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,457 points/1,317 shots) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Vermont has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,388 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.7
UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has averaged 5.4 steals per game (295 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
UMBC has averaged 5.0 steals per game (115 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
UMBC has allowed 83.8 points per game (1,927 points/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (449/1,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
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