Villanova vs Providence Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

Providence guard Devin Carter (22) looks for an open man during the second half of a first-round college basketball game against Kentucky in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 17, 2023, in Greensboro, N.C. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • Providence (16-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Villanova (16-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Villanova / Providence TV channel: FOX

The Villanova Wildcats (16-12) visit Amica Mutual Pavilion to take on the Providence Friars (16-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Providence, RI.

Providence is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Villanova vs. Providence Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. Providence Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova+2.5 -110O 135.5 -115+120
Providence -2.5 -110U 135.5 -105-145

Villanova vs Providence Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Providence will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs Providence Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+6.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Providence have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.75 Units / 5.67% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -8.53% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -25.24% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 18-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7 Units / 22.69% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 5.32% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -7.78% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -0.81% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (127/153) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,171 free throw attempts/3,360 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 46% (1,528/3,360) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (759 free throw attempts/2,012 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence has made 190 three-pointers this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 63.1 points per game (1,136 points/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Villanova has allowed 63.8 points per game (1,530 points/24 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Villanova has allowed 66.1 points per game (3,831 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Villanova has averaged 5.7 steals per game (328 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/24 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 6.9 steals per game (234 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,626 points/1,446 shots) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.