Virginia vs Villanova Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 15, 2024, 9:35 AM
  • Villanova is a -4.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Virginia / Villanova TV channel: TNT

The Virginia Cavaliers visit CFG Bank Arena to take on the Villanova Wildcats on Nov. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

Villanova is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Virginia vs. Villanova Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Virginia vs. Villanova Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia+4.5 -105O 128.5 -105+170
Villanova -4.5 -115U 128.5 -115-210

Virginia vs Villanova Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Villanova will win this college basketball game with 77.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia vs Villanova Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+4.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.07 Units / 13% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 0-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 1-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -25.93% ROI
  • 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova had 15.2 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Villanova averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (282 rebounds/33 games) last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Villanova averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (317 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Villanova shot 81% from the free throw line (408/501) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova allowed 63.2 points per game (2,086 points/33 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Villanova allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,622 points/1,441 shots) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Villanova allowed 29.6 points per game (977 points/33 games) in the first half last season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33.3

Villanova allowed opponents to shoot 40% (579/1,441) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.