VMI vs Chattanooga Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Chattanooga head coach Dan Earl directs his team during the first half of an NCAA men's college basketball championship game against Furman for the Southern Conference tournament, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Asheville, N.C. (AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
(AP Photo/Kathy Kmonicek)
  • Chattanooga (5-8) is a -16.5 point favorite vs VMI (4-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • VMI / Chattanooga TV channel: ESPN+

The VMI Keydets (4-8) visit McKenzie Arena to take on the Chattanooga Mocs (5-8) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chattanooga, TN.

Chattanooga is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The VMI vs. Chattanooga Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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VMI vs. Chattanooga Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
VMI+16.5 -110O 152.5 -105+850
Chattanooga -16.5 -110U 152.5 -115-1600

VMI vs Chattanooga Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Chattanooga will win this college basketball game with 94.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

VMI vs Chattanooga Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Chattanooga will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • VMI has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • VMI has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • VMI has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Chattanooga has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

VMI Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

VMI has a 4-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 0% ROI

Chattanooga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Chattanooga has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / 0% ROI

VMI Offensive Stats & Trends:

VMI has a 22% free throw rate (612 free throw attempts/2,833 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

VMI has a 23% free throw rate (206 free throw attempts/910 field goal attempts) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

VMI has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,053 points/910 shots) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

VMI has 237 turnovers this season — most among Southern Teams

Chattanooga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has made 11.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Chattanooga has made 556 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Southern Teams

Chattanooga is shooting 63% from inside the arc (197/314) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Chattanooga has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 48%

VMI Defensive Stats & Trends:

VMI has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (413 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 26.1

VMI has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,160 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.8

VMI has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (160 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.6

VMI has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (119/384) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Chattanooga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Chattanooga has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,314 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Chattanooga has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (415 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 26.1

Chattanooga has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (520 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Chattanooga has allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.