Weber State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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UCLA guard Amari Bailey, right, dribbles against Sacramento State during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:54 AM
  • Weber State (7-5) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (3-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Weber State / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Weber State Wildcats (7-5) visit The Hornets Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (3-10) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

Weber State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Weber State vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Weber State vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Weber State-8.5 -115O 135.5 -110-450
Sacramento State +8.5 -105U 135.5 -110+340

Weber State vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Weber State will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Weber State vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Weber State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+17.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Weber State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Weber State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Weber State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Weber State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)

Weber State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Weber State has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / 0% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 3-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.95 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 0% ROI

Weber State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Weber State has averaged 5.9 offensive rebounds per game (281 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Weber State has a 37% free throw rate (309 free throw attempts/835 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 31%

Weber State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (140 turnovers/15 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Weber State is shooting 77% from the free throw line (681/887) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has 236 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (476 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Sacramento State has averaged 1.25 points per shot (1,053 points/843 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Sacramento State has 476 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Weber State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Weber State has allowed 61.9 points per game (928 points/15 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 71.6

Weber State has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,162 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Weber State has 293 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Big Sky Teams

Weber State has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (393 rebounds/15 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (377 rebounds/15 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Sacramento State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,134 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Sacramento State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (118/335) this season — 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,255 points/2,663 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.