Xavier vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:47 AM
  • UConn (11-8) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Xavier (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Xavier / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Xavier Musketeers (12-7) visit XL Center to take on the UConn Huskies (11-8) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Hartford, CT.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Xavier vs. UConn Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+12.5 -110O 149.5 -110+550
UConn -12.5 -110U 149.5 -110-800

Xavier vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 85.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games (+21.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -17.28% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -1.95 Units / -9.35% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 4.03% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.45 Units / 3.69% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -12.92% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.3 assists per game (1,025 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has averaged 20.3 assists per game (710 assists/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 15.6

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (194/516) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has averaged 41.0 points per game (2,294 points/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.4

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 41.3 points per game (784 points/19 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.3

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (167 assists/ 94 TOs) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.3

UConn has averaged 17.7 assists per game (1,024 assists/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (340 assists/ 195 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,558 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 5.8 steals per game (122 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Xavier has averaged 6.7 steals per game (128 steals/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier has averaged 6.9 steals per game (242 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (630/1,593) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,534 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (365 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UConn has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.