- The Chiefs (+105) are my favorite Super Bowl bet.
- There are only two teams remaining.
One team has enticing NFL odds to win the Super Bowl. Here is my favorite Super Bowl value bet at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
1. Kansas City Chiefs (+105)
The Chiefs aren’t the favorites to win the Super Bowl, so that’s good value considering how well-equipped they are to win it all.
The Chiefs were first in the NFL in offensive DVOA in the regular season, per Football Outsiders. Patrick Mahomes played like the league MVP, and he just needs Kansas City’s defense to perform above average to lead this team to a Super Bowl victory.
This guy @PatrickMahomes pic.twitter.com/HJfy3kGTVC
— NFL (@NFL) January 21, 2023
2. Philadelphia Eagles (-125)
It took me a couple weeks to believe the Eagles are a complete team that could win a Super Bowl. But their decisive wins, including in the playoffs, helped convince me Philadelphia has a real chance. Now the Eagles are in the Super Bowl.
I’m especially encouraged now that Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is back and can still excel. The Eagles’ defense has also been great. They were sixth in total defensive DVOA in the regular season.
However, I don’t think they quite have enough to defeat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
THE EAGLES DEFENSE IS ALL OVER CARSON WENTZ‼️
Six sacks and it's only the first half 😳
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/38r0YStEyH
— ESPN (@espn) September 25, 2022
Full Super Bowl Odds
| Teams | Opening Spread | Current Spread (1/31) | Opening Total | Current Total (1/31) | Opening ML | Current ML (1/31) |
| Chiefs | -1.5 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 49.5 | -115 | +105 |
| Eagles | +1.5 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 49.5 | -105 | -125 |
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