Jets Playoff Odds: NFL Betting Markets Remain Optimistic

Historically speaking, the first week of April is a little early for NFL win totals. A handful of major contract situations have yet to be settled for the 2023 NFL betting season, and exactly zero NFL draft picks have been selected and submitted. 

Still, the BetMGM online sportsbook has one very popular team special up and available right now. It’s arguably the NFL team that has generated the most offseason buzz so far this year.

It is, of course, the New York Jets.

New York Jets Playoff Odds

Right now at BetMGM, there’s a special NFL odds market regarding the New York Jets’ playoff odds. Bettors can bet on the Jets to make the playoffs at -150; they can also bet on the Jets missing the playoffs at +125.

For a team with the longest playoff drought in professional sports, that’s a shocking set of prices for bettors to consider.

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is the obvious X-factor.

Is Aaron Rodgers Going to the New York Jets?

Maybe. Probably. But we don’t really know, do we?

I wrote a little bit last week about how Aaron Rodgers and the Jets are unofficially Super Bowl or Bust. I kind of hate proclamations like that, but Rodgers is a bit like Peyton Manning right now. At the end of his career, no one is going to get excited about a Wild Card Weekend appearance for a guy like Rodgers — especially after a messy, yearslong breakup with the Packers. 

This late-career Jets stint needs to add something tangible and substantive to his resume. Otherwise, is anyone really going to see him any differently than they do right now?

Jets Win Total for 2024

The Rodgers connection is a key factor in the market hype. Everyone wants a piece of the Jets on the news that Rodgers could be traded to New York ahead of the 2023 NFL season.

The problem, though, is that there are a million different things that could go wrong between now and the start of the NFL season.

What if the Packers hold up a trade, now that they have maximum leverage with Aaron Rodgers’ public announcement?

What if Rodgers, who turns 40 this season, gets hurt?

What if there are growing pains when Rodgers has to play for his first new team since being drafted into the NFL?

What Rodgers, who ranked 15th in passer rating and 27th in QBR last season, has regressed far below his presumed MVP level of play?

What if a loaded division is too much for even an improved Jets team with better quarterback play?

There are so many things that could go wrong for the Jets this season, even with vastly improved play from the quarterback position. 

Jets believers can make the case that a healthy and effective Rodgers greatly raises both the floor and the ceiling in New York. 

However, skeptical bettors will point out that 10 wins and a playoff appearance are high bars to clear for a team that’s finished in fourth place in the division for four straight seasons.

In a loaded AFC with gobs of quarterback talent, I love the idea of Jets Miss the Playoffs +125, as well as Jets Under 9.5 Wins +110.