NFL Prop Bets: Today’s Best Bets for Player Props, Super Bowl

With an intriguing matchup set to take place in the Super Bowl, I’ve identified a few favorable football betting player props on the BetMGM Sportsbook that you could consider ahead of the action.

NFL Player Prop Bets: Super Bowl

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles, 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday, Feb. 12

Patrick Mahomes Under 286.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been over this total in four of his last seven games. But the Eagles’ defense is playing at an extremely high level recently.

The Eagles are first in passing defense DVOA. They allowed the second-fewest passing yards to quarterbacks in the regular season. They also haven’t allowed seven of their last eight opponents to even reach 200 passing yards, so I don’t think Mahomes will quite get to 287.

Jalen Hurts Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115) 

In his last three games since returning from a shoulder injury, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has been under this total each time. In fact, he hasn’t even reached 40 yards, and his rushing attempts have slightly declined.

The Chiefs don’t have a fantastic rushing defense, ranking 15th in rushing defense DVOA, but they’ve only allowed two quarterbacks to go over this number all season. I doubt Hurts will either.

Isiah Pacheco Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Though he didn’t have a great game like I thought he would in the AFC Championship, Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco has still gone over this total in nine of his last 11 games and has also had double-digit carries nine times during that stretch.

This also is a fairly favorable matchup. The Eagles are 19th in rushing defense DVOA and allowed 13 running backs to go over this total this season. If the Chiefs give Pacheco enough work, I don’t think 50 rushing yards will prove to be too difficult.

Jake Elliott Over 2.5 Extra Points Made (-110) 

Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has made all nine of his extra-point attempts in his last two games. And I’m expecting the Eagles will find the end zone at least three times in this clash.

The Eagles are ninth in red zone offensive DVOA, while the Chiefs are 26th in red zone defensive DVOA. If the Eagles put a few good drives together, I don’t anticipate they’ll be settling for many field goals.

Dallas Goedert Under 4.5 Receptions (-105)

Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert has been a reliable option for his team’s passing attack, but this number is a bit high. He averages 4.2 receptions on five targets per game in his last six.

The Chiefs haven’t been great against the pass, ranking 16th in passing defense DVOA. However, they’ve only allowed two tight ends to go over this total and allowed the 11th-fewest catches to tight ends during the regular season. Goedert may play well, but five receptions would be a lot here.

DeVonta Smith Over 5.5 Receptions (+120)

Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith has flourished recently and should have enough passes thrown his way to go over this threshold. Before Philadelphia’s blowout win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship, Smith had eight or more targets in 10 straight games. He’s also been over this total in four of his last five contests.

The Chiefs allowed the 16th-most yards to receivers during the regular season, so predicting Smith’s yards total is more difficult. But Kansas City allowed the eighth-most receptions to wideouts, so I can see Smith snagging at least six catches in the Super Bowl.

NFL Touchdown Player Prop Bets: Super Bowl

A.J. Brown First Touchdown (+1000)

I believe Philadelphia will gain some momentum early and try to take control of the contest, similar to its two playoff games. Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown has a great chance to find the end zone if that happens.

The Chiefs are 28th in red zone passing defensive DVOA and were tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed to wide receivers during the regular season. Brown has only scored once in his last six games, but I think he changes that trend pretty quickly in the Super Bowl.

Dallas Goedert Anytime Touchdown (+155)

I’m not sure when it will happen, but I believe Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert will exploit a major weakness in Kansas City’s defense at some point during the Super Bowl.

The Chiefs were tied for the fifth-most touchdowns allowed to tight ends and were 28th in red zone passing defensive DVOA in the regular season. I expect Goedert will find the end zone for at least the second time this postseason.

Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown (+155)

Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has reached the end zone once in both of his team’s playoff games and seven times in his last six appearances. And in four of those six games, he had less than 40 yards on the ground, so he doesn’t necessarily need to break off a long run in order to score himself.

The Chiefs were tied for the sixth-most rushing touchdowns allowed to quarterbacks and were 18th in goal-to-go defensive DVOA during the regular season. Similar to their win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship, I can see the Eagles putting together a good drive and Hurts scoring on a QB sneak at some point.

Travis Kelce 2 or More Touchdowns (+310)

Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has been phenomenal in the playoffs. He’s scored three touchdowns in two postseason games, and I don’t think the Eagles will be able to limit him much.

The Eagles only allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in the regular season, but they also haven’t faced Kelce yet or many high-level tight ends this season. If anyone has a good shot of scoring multiple touchdowns in this game, it’s Kelce.

Jerick McKinnon Last Touchdown (+1100)

Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon scored nine touchdowns during a six-game stretch going into the playoffs. But in his last two, he hasn’t found the end zone at all.

I think that changes in the Super Bowl in a critical moment. I imagine this game will be close and that the Chiefs will have to score late in order to win. That would be a perfect opportunity for McKinnon to find the end zone.

What is an NFL Prop Bet?

NFL prop bets are a unique opportunity to bet on specific areas of a game. You could, for example, bet on the total passing yards for a quarterback or if a team will have more or fewer than a number of rushing yards.

There are dozens of different prop bets – and hundreds of choices and thousands of prop bet parlay combinations – available for each NFL game.

Types of NFL Prop Bets

BetMGM has a wide selection of player and game prop bets available for each game. The most popular types of player props include ones like:

• First Touchdown Scorer
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Total Receiving Yards by a Player
• Total Rushing Yards by a Player
• Total Receptions by a Player
• Total Passing Yards by a Player

The most popular types of game prop bets include ones like:

• Winning Margin: Packers by 1-6
• Will the game go into overtime?
• Both teams to score 20 or more points
• Will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half?

How To Bet NFL Prop Bets

It’s never been easier to bet on NFL odds at the online sportsbook.

To view available props for each game, visit the NFL betting page and select a game. You can view all available bets or sort by type, e.g., player TDs, player props, or game props.

Once you spot a favorable number or bet that will add more excitement as you watch that game, add it to your bet slip, add a stake, and place your bet.