- Here are some NFL player prop bets to consider for this week's games
- There's player prop bets for Week 4 Thursday Night Football and Sunday's games
With several intriguing NFL matchups set to take place this week, I’ve identified a few favorable football betting player props on the BetMGM Sportsbook that you could consider ahead of the action.
NFL Player Prop Bet: Week 4, Oct. 2
Najee Harris Under 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1 p.m. ET
Steelers running back Najee Harris hasn’t produced quite as expected this season, and I don’t see this game being any different.
Harris is averaging 42.7 rushing yards per game and 3.2 yards per attempt. The game script may be in Harris’ favor, with the Steelers being the -3.5 NFL betting favorite, but Harris didn’t even get there in the Steelers’ lone win this season.
In fact, the most Harris has run for this season is for 56 yards last week at Cleveland. And I don’t think this Jets defense provides an easy opportunity for Harris to get back on track.
Browns running back Nick Chubb (87 yards in Week 2) is the only player to go over this total against the Jets this year. The other two weeks, New York held Joe Mixon of the Bengals and Lamar Jackson of the Ravens under this benchmark.
The Jets are also 12th in rush defense DVOA, so Harris may not have an easy time here.
Antonio Gibson Under 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m. ET
Commanders running back Antonio Gibson hasn’t rushed for more than 58 yards in three games this season as the team’s leading running back. I don’t expect him to reach that total this week.
Gibson is averaging 41.3 rushing yards per game and 3.1 yards per attempt. And that’s while averaging 13.3 carries per game. The workload is there, but he’s just not producing at a high level.
Two running backs have gone over this total against the Cowboys in 2022. But Gibson isn’t playing as well as Leonard Fournette of the Buccaneers or Saquon Barkley of the Giants.
Maybe Gibson makes up for some yards through the air, but I don’t believe he’ll be hitting 58 rushing yards in this game.
Allen Lazard Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers, 4:25 p.m. ET
This is a low total for Packers wide receiver Allen Lazard considering how much I expect him to be a focal point of his team’s passing attack moving forward.
After missing Week 1 due to injury, Lazard was targeted three times in Week 2 when the Packers relied heavily on the ground game in a win over the Bears and six times in Week 3 in a narrow victory over the Buccaneers. In that contest last week, Lazard totaled 45 yards on four receptions and a touchdown.
The Patriots have allowed seven players to go over this total in three games. Each week thus far, at least two players have gone over this number against New England.
That means that even if Lazard doesn’t emerge as the No. 1 wideout for the Packers, there’s still room for him to tally at least 37 receiving yards in this Aaron Rodgers-led offense.
What is an NFL Prop Bet?
NFL prop bets are a unique opportunity to bet on specific areas of a game. You could, for example, bet on the total passing yards for a quarterback or if a team will have more or fewer than a number of rushing yards.
There are dozens of different prop bets – and hundreds of choices and thousands of prop bet parlay combinations – available for each NFL game.
Types of NFL Prop Bets
BetMGM has a wide selection of player and game prop bets available for each game. The most popular types of player props include ones like:
- First Touchdown Scorer
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer
- Total Receiving Yards by a Player
- Total Rushing Yards by a Player
- Total Receptions by a Player
- Total Passing Yards by a Player
The most popular types of game prop bets include ones like:
- Winning Margin: Packers by 1-6
- Will the game go into overtime?
- Both teams to score 20 or more points
- Will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half?
How To Bet NFL Prop Bets
It’s never been easier to bet on NFL odds at the online sportsbook.
To view available props for each game, visit the NFL betting page and select a game. You can view all available bets or sort by type, e.g., player TDs, player props, or game props.
Once you spot a favorable number or bet that will add more excitement as you watch that game, add it to your bet slip, add a stake, and place your bet.