Eagles Over Under Wins, 2026 NFL Win Totals

For the 2026 NFL season, the Eagles win total sits at 10.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Philadelphia cruised to a second straight division title in 2025. It marked the first time in two decades a team repeated as NFC East champions. 

But a lackluster offense sent Philadelphia to a wild-card round exit against San Francisco. The team responded by replacing Kevin Patullo with Sean Mannion as offensive coordinator. 

Here’s a look at the NFL odds for Philadelphia’s 2026 win total and my Eagles win total prediction. 

Eagles Win Total Odds

The Eagles’ season win total is set at 10.5 games. 

Oddsmakers currently rate the Eagles as an underdog to win 11 or more games for the fifth straight year. Currently, over 10.5 wins is priced at +120. 

Meanwhile, the odds for Philadelphia to finish with 10 or fewer wins are -145

Here are the 2026 NFL win totals for all NFC East teams:

• Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5 Wins
• Dallas Cowboys: 8.5 Wins
• Washington Commanders: 7.5 Wins
• New York Giants: 7.5 Wins

Eagles Win Total Prediction 2026

Based on the Eagles’ reliance on defense to win games last year and its injury fortune over a two-year span, I predict the Eagles finish Under 10.5 Wins (-125). 

I rate Philadelphia as one of the hardest win total predictions for 2026. 

A ton of regression metrics suggest the Eagles take a step back. However, it’s worth pointing out the Eagles project to face the league’s fifth-easiest schedule by opponent win totals.

That schedule could get even easier if the Steelers – a unique opponent – lose Aaron Rodgers to retirement. It would also give the Eagles the easiest set of unique opponents in the NFC East. 

Let’s start with the Eagles offense. Anyone who watched the NFL last year knew the Eagles trotted out a disaster playing with the ball. 

Philadelphia fell from 13th to 17th in offensive DVOA while going from sixth to 24th in rush offense, per FTN Fantasy. 

Right now, Philadelphia likely falls somewhere in the middle of the latter metric. Lane Johnson played at least 75% of snaps only seven times, undoubtedly contributing to the falloff. 

Still, the Eagles relied heavily on explosives to score points. Philadelphia ranked 19th in points per game last year despite producing the fifth-fewest red zone trips IN THE LEAGUE. 

More concerning is that the Eagles achieved that record against the fifth-easiest set of opposing defenses. In 2024, they played the easiest set of opposing defenses. 

No new reinforcements are on the way for Philadelphia. A possibility remains the team trades A.J. Brown when it’s not financially crippling to do so. 

If there’s good news, it’s that the Eagles project to face only six top-15 DVOA defenses from last year. That could change if the 49ers, Giants and Cowboys take a step forward. 

Defensively is where I’m concerned about this team. Philadelphia went from first to seventh in DVOA last year. Last year’s opponents averaged a 2.2% offensive DVOA rating. 

Last year, the defense’s margin of error proved so small. When the defense allowed at least 21 points, the Eagles finished 3-7, including an unlikely win over the Rams. 

Next year, the Eagles project to face a more difficult schedule. Based on last year’s offensive DVOA percentages, Philadelphia’s opponents average a 3.1% rating. 

They’ll enter that gauntlet after losing Jaelen Phillips, Nakobe Dean and Reed Blankenship. Most concerning? Philadelphia lost only 27.9 adjusted games to injury on defense last year. 

Over a two-year period, the Eagles finished as the 11th-healthiest and second-healthiest defense. 

If injuries begin to pile up – particularly on defense – it could lead to some suggested negative regression. Last year, Philadelphia finished 8-4 in one-possession games. 

All those factors lead me to believe the Eagles finish under this line more often than not.

Most Wins in Eagles History

The Eagles’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14, which took place in 2022 and 2024.

They have won at least 13 games in a season three times and have captured 11 or more wins in three straight seasons.

Fewest Wins in Eagles History

The Eagles’ franchise record for the fewest wins in a regular season is two. It has occurred four times (1958, 1963, 1968, 1972).