Commanders Over/Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

For the 2024 NFL season, the Commanders win total sits at 6.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Washington experienced another brutal season in 2024. At 4-13, they finished fourth in the division by two games. 

That marked the second time in as many years Washington occupied the cellar of the division. 

Washington enters 2024 with a new head coach (Dan Quinn) and quarterback (Jayden Daniels). Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Washington’s 2024 win total. 

Commanders Win Total Odds

The Commanders’ season win total is set at 6.5 games. 

Oddsmakers expect the Commanders are more likely to finish 7-10 or better. Currently, the Commanders are -125 to bag at least seven wins for an implied probability of 55.6%. 

Conversely, Washington is +105 to finish with six or fewer wins in Quinn’s first season for an implied probability of 48.8%. 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC East teams:

• Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5 Wins
• Dallas Cowboys: 10.5 Wins
• New York Giants: 6.5 Wins
• Washington Commanders: 6.5 Wins

Commanders 2024 Schedule

Commanders 2024 Win Total Prediction

LEAN Commanders Under 6.5 Wins (+105)

I’m not buying a rookie quarterback and a new head coach is enough to produce a three-win improvement by Washington. 

Here’s the good news: improvement is more likely than Washington finishing with three or fewer wins. 

The Commanders play the 12th-easiest schedule in the NFL by opposing win totals and get a bonus home game this year. 

Washington also finished 3-5 in games decided by under a touchdown last year and finished a dismal 0-6 in the division. 

Based on those records, there’s only room for improvement from the Commanders. 

Additionally, the defense received a complete overhaul. 

Dorance Armstrong, Dante Fowler, Frankie Luvu, Bobby Wagner and Jeremy Chinn all provide a veteran presence on a team that ranked 32nd in defensive EPA per play. 

Offensively, the Commanders added Daniels via the draft and running back Austin Ekeler in free agency. 

But the big worry with this team remains the offensive line. 

Washington cut 2023 starting left tackle Charles Leno Jr., which leaves a big question mark. 

While they added Tyler Biadasz at center and guard Nick Allegretti to help address some concerns, Washington’s offense might be a non-factor if they have no protection. 

Given that concern, I’m not willing to make a bet on Washington making this big a leap in 2024.

Most Wins in Commanders History

The Commanders’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14. They accomplished this twice (1983 and 1991).

Both seasons resulted in trips to the Super Bowl, and the 1991 season ended with a Super Bowl title.

Fewest Wins in Commanders History

The Commanders’ franchise record for the fewest wins in a single season is one, which has happened twice. It was in back-to-back seasons in 1960 and 1961.