Commanders Over/Under Wins, 2024 NFL Win Totals

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Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17) celebrates during an NFL football game against the Dallas Cowboys, Sunday, January 8, 2023 in Landover. (AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 11, 2024, 7:50 PM
  • The Commanders’ 2024 win total is set at 6.5 wins at BetMGM.
  • Washington won only four games in 2023, finishing fourth in the NFC East.
  • Will an easy schedule allow Washington to clear their win total?

For the 2024 NFL season, the Commanders win total sits at 6.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook

Washington experienced another brutal season in 2024. At 4-13, they finished fourth in the division by two games. 

That marked the second time in as many years Washington occupied the cellar of the division. 

Washington enters 2024 with a new head coach (Dan Quinn) and quarterback (Jayden Daniels). Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Washington’s 2024 win total. 

Commanders Win Total Odds

The Commanders’ season win total is set at 6.5 games. 

Oddsmakers expect the Commanders are more likely to finish 7-10 or better. Currently, the Commanders are -125 to bag at least seven wins for an implied probability of 55.6%. 

Conversely, Washington is +105 to finish with six or fewer wins in Quinn’s first season for an implied probability of 48.8%. 

Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC East teams:

Commanders 2024 Schedule

Week NumberOpponent
Week 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers (A)
Week 2New York Giants (H)
Week 3Cincinnati Bengals (A)
Week 4Arizona Cardinals (A)
Week 5Cleveland Browns (H)
Week 6Baltimore Ravens (A)
Week 7Carolina Panthers (H)
Week 8Chicago Bears (H)
Week 9New York Giants (A)
Week 10Pittsburgh Steelers (H)
Week 11Philadelphia Eagles (A)
Week 12Dallas Cowboys (H)
Week 13Tennessee Titans (H)
Week 14Bye
Week 15New Orleans Saints (A)
Week 16Philadelphia Eagles (H)
Week 17Atlanta Falcons (H)
Week 18Dallas Cowboys (A)

Commanders 2024 Win Total Prediction

LEAN Commanders Under 6.5 Wins (+105)

I’m not buying a rookie quarterback and a new head coach is enough to produce a three-win improvement by Washington. 

Here’s the good news: improvement is more likely than Washington finishing with three or fewer wins. 

The Commanders play the 12th-easiest schedule in the NFL by opposing win totals and get a bonus home game this year. 

Washington also finished 3-5 in games decided by under a touchdown last year and finished a dismal 0-6 in the division. 

Based on those records, there’s only room for improvement from the Commanders. 

Additionally, the defense received a complete overhaul. 

Dorance Armstrong, Dante Fowler, Frankie Luvu, Bobby Wagner and Jeremy Chinn all provide a veteran presence on a team that ranked 32nd in defensive EPA per play. 

Offensively, the Commanders added Daniels via the draft and running back Austin Ekeler in free agency. 

But the big worry with this team remains the offensive line. 

Washington cut 2023 starting left tackle Charles Leno Jr., which leaves a big question mark. 

While they added Tyler Biadasz at center and guard Nick Allegretti to help address some concerns, Washington’s offense might be a non-factor if they have no protection. 

Given that concern, I’m not willing to make a bet on Washington making this big a leap in 2024.

Most Wins in Commanders History

The Commanders’ franchise record for most regular season wins is 14. They accomplished this twice (1983 and 1991).

Both seasons resulted in trips to the Super Bowl, and the 1991 season ended with a Super Bowl title.

Fewest Wins in Commanders History

The Commanders’ franchise record for the fewest wins in a single season is one, which has happened twice. It was in back-to-back seasons in 1960 and 1961.

NFL Betting Odds at BetMGM

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.