Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

min read
Two Youngstate Penguins players defending an opposition player dribbling an NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:58 AM
  • Youngstown State (10-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Northern Kentucky (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Northern Kentucky / Youngstown State TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Kentucky Norse (11-8) visit Beeghly Center to take on the Youngstown State Penguins (10-7) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 1:30pm EST in Youngstown, OH.

Youngstown State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Northern Kentucky vs. Youngstown State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Northern Kentucky vs. Youngstown State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Kentucky+6.5 -110O 146.5 -110+240
Youngstown State -6.5 -110U 146.5 -110-300

Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Youngstown State will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Kentucky vs Youngstown State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Kentucky will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Kentucky have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northern Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 21 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Youngstown State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Youngstown State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Northern Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Kentucky has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.55% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.58% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.5% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.05 Units / -19.42% ROI

Youngstown State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Youngstown State has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 12.33% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 11.68% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.85 Units / -9.92% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

Northern Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has a 38% free throw rate (461 free throw attempts/1,199 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 31%

Northern Kentucky has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northern Kentucky is shooting 46% (552/1,199) this season — tied for 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 46%

Northern Kentucky has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Youngstown State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (862 assists/ 590 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Youngstown State is shooting 77% from the free throw line (743/964) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 72%

Youngstown State has averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Youngstown State has made 9.3 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northern Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.4 steals per game (524 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Northern Kentucky has averaged 9.4 steals per game (524 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (459 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Northern Kentucky has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,179 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Youngstown State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (564 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Youngstown State has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,371 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Youngstown State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,455 points/1,290 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Youngstown State has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (564 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.