- Texas A&M-Commerce (12-15) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Northwestern State (14-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Northwestern State / Texas A&M-Commerce TV channel: ESPN+
The Northwestern State Demons (14-14) visit Texas A&M-Commerce Field House to take on the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (12-15) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Commerce, TX.
Texas A&M-Commerce is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Northwestern State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Northwestern State vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northwestern State | +3.5 -115 | O 139.5 -115 | +135 |
| Texas A&M-Commerce | -3.5 -105 | U 139.5 -105 | -165 |
Northwestern State vs Texas A&M-Commerce Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M-Commerce will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Northwestern State vs Texas A&M-Commerce Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern State will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Northwestern State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Northwestern State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Northwestern State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- Northwestern State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Northwestern State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Texas A&M-Commerce Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Texas A&M-Commerce have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas A&M-Commerce has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Northwestern State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Northwestern State has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).
- 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -20.36% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas A&M-Commerce Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas A&M-Commerce has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.81% ROI).
- 8-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -10.01% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.18% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units / 5.88% ROI
Northwestern State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern State has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (238 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Northwestern State has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (576 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 9.7
Northwestern State is shooting 52% from inside the arc (341/659) this season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%
Northwestern State has made 439 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Southland Teams
Texas A&M-Commerce Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas A&M-Commerce has attempted 1,596 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Southland Teams
Texas A&M-Commerce has attempted 728 threes this season — most among Southland Teams
Texas A&M-Commerce is shooting 55% from inside the arc (842/1,521) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 52%
Texas A&M-Commerce has made 8.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Northwestern State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,165 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Northwestern State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (488 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Northwestern State has 427 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southland Teams
Northwestern State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (427 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Texas A&M-Commerce Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (547 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,256 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Texas A&M-Commerce has averaged 8.2 steals per game (204 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Texas A&M-Commerce has 204 steals this season — 2nd most among Southland Teams
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