Providence vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

(AP Photo)
  • Xavier (14-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Providence (15-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Providence / Xavier TV channel: CBSSN

The Providence Friars (15-10) visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers (14-11) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Providence vs. Xavier Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Providence vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+4.5 -105O 150.5 -110+170
Xavier -4.5 -115U 150.5 -110-210

Providence vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 35 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 17-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.1 Units / 24.78% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 4.83% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 10.91% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -14.75% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.9% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.35 Units / -15.85% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 35% free throw rate (1,171 free throw attempts/3,360 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 31%

Providence is shooting 46% (1,528/3,360) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Providence has a 38% free throw rate (759 free throw attempts/2,012 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 33%

Providence has made 190 three-pointers this season — 5th most among Big East Teams

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has 765 assists at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.1

Xavier has averaged 40.9 points per game (2,496 points/61 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.5

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/24 games) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Providence has averaged 6.9 steals per game (234 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Providence has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,626 points/1,446 shots) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (660 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Xavier has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,685 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (167 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier has averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.