Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2023, 1:15 PM
  • Purdue (23-2) are -5.5 point favorites vs Northwestern (17-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Purdue Boilermakers (23-2) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (17-7) on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Evanston.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Purdue vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 131.5 total points.

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Purdue vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue-5.5 -105O 131.5 -110-225
Northwestern +5.5 -115U 131.5 -110+180

Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 62.6% confidence.

Purdue vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 40 games (+17.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games (+15.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has gone 10-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 10.33% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has gone 14-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.39% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 10.86% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,564 points/1,177 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Purdue has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern is shooting 39% (257/665) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Northwestern has an eFG% of 47% this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northwestern is shooting 41% (522/1,289) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Purdue has allowed 60.3 points per game (1,387 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (995 points/947 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has 178 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has averaged 8.1 steals per game (178 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has averaged 6.9 steals per game (240 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Northwestern has averaged 7.2 steals per game (379 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.