- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+155) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Wednesday, March 6, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Rays are 1-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-4 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rays | +155 |
| Yankees | -190 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 160 games (+13.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games at home (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 3-5 against the Run Line (-2.48 Units / -25.97% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.82 Units / -47.16% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.67 Units / 19.02% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -29.88% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 3.16% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 6.63% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -14.97% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley struck out 33% (75/230) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Taj Bradley allowed an OPS of 1.542 (89 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.088 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (83/156) against Taj Bradley against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley allowed a slugging percentage of .776 (142 Total Bases / 183 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .585 — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (101 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Carlos Rodon’s lowest spin rate on sliders since last season is 84.0 RPM — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1323.3
Carlos Rodon’s highest spin rate on sliders since last season is 3503.0 RPM — 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2862.8
The hardest ball hit off of Carlos Rodon since last season was just 112.5 MPH — tied for 13th hardest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 114.9
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were just 11-41 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Yankees are 44-48 (.478) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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