Rhode Island vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:15 AM
  • Dayton (8-7) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Rhode Island (8-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Rhode Island / Dayton TV channel: USA

The Rhode Island Rams (8-8) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers (8-7) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Rhode Island vs. Dayton Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Rhode Island vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rhode Island+12.5 -105O 141.5 -110+625
Dayton -12.5 -115U 141.5 -110-1000

Rhode Island vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 92.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Rhode Island vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Rhode Island has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rhode Island has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rhode Island has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Rhode Island have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games at home (+7.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Rhode Island Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rhode Island has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.85 Units / -10.48% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 3.7% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.7% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 16.27% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.75 Units / -4.27% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.53% ROI

Rhode Island Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rhode Island is shooting 63% from the free throw line (236/377) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Rhode Island is shooting 63% from the free throw line (236/377) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Rhode Island has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (577 assists/ 663 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Rhode Island has averaged 68.8 points per game (3,302 points/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (756 assists/ 582 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (152/385) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (238 assists/ 171 TOs) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton has averaged 15.1 assists per game (756 assists/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Rhode Island Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rhode Island has averaged 5.2 steals per game (89 steals/17 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Rhode Island has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (161 turnovers/17 games) this season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Rhode Island has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (341/1,025) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Rhode Island has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (532 turnovers/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,108 points/2,904 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has allowed 62.2 points per game (3,108 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Dayton has averaged 5.1 steals per game (255 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton has averaged 5.1 steals per game (255 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.