Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Rockets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 41-31 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 38-35 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+7.5 -105O 215.5 -105+260
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -115U 215.5 -115-350

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Tuesday‘s game with 70.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+15.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 away games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 71 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 games at home (+21.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 41-31 (+6.9 Units / 8.48% ROI).

  • 38-36 against the Moneyline (+8.55 Units / 6.85% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.45 Units / -0.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 38-35 (-0.6 Units / -0.74% ROI).

  • 51-23 against the Moneyline (+4.65 Units / 1.95% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 79 games (-23.10 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.25 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games at home (-21.15 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 32 away games (-18.40 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 32 away games (-18.35 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 38 away games (-14.30 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves are winless (0-3) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Timberwolves were 17-13 (.567) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Timberwolves are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Timberwolves are winless (0-8) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .146

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. RocketsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (908 points/74 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (339/792) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (1,258 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,690 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (444 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.