Royals vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2023, 11:04 AM
  • The Angels are -150 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley, 11.57 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez, 5.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-150) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tempe.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Royals vs Angels Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Royals are 13-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 10-7 ATS.

Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -145O 10.5 -110+125
Angels -1.5 +120U 10.5 -110-150

Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Edward Olivares has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 59 away games (+16.93 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 away games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 13-2 against the Run Line (+12.45 Units / 61.18% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 66.09% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 20.9% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -28.22% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 18.69% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 36.3% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -32.89% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 24.93% ROI

Jon Heasley had a strike rate of just 58% (549/951) vs left-handed batters last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a chase rate of just 15% (28/181) against Jon Heasley when he was behind in the count last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Jon Heasley had a strikeout rate of just 10% (11/106) with runners in scoring position last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.

Jon Heasley allowed a slugging percentage of .590 (49 Total Bases / 83 ABs) with runners in scoring position last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — third Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Suarez located 42% of his pitches inside (149/357) when ahead in the count last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.

Jose Suarez allowed a .556 SLG versus the top of the order (tied for sixth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .229 versus the bottom of the order last season (sixth best among non-qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .333 (17 GB hits out of 51 GBs) against Jose Suarez with runners on base last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.

Jose Suarez allowed an OPS of just .481 (131 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order last season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .645 — 93rd Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Royals are just 24-79 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Angels are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,777 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,518 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .228 (6,387 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Royals have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers walked 126 of 1,420 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Royals have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Angels have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): The Kansas City Royals placed LHP Angel Zerpa on the 60-day injured list., D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.