- The Brewers are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Josh Taylor
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Kansas City Royals (+190) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-250) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Royals vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 12-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 17-20 ATS.
Royals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | +190 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | -250 |
Royals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+11.05 Units / 158% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 28 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Brewers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brewers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.75 Units / 32% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+2.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 15-24 against the Run Line (-12.65 Units / -26.33% ROI).
- 12-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -29.95% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -6.8% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 17-20 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -6.4% ROI).
- 20-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -11.31% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.88% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Taylor has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 76% (28/37) of opposing batters this season — 11th highest among among 230 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (15/27) against Josh Taylor this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — second Percentile.
Josh Taylor has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (11 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — tied for 14th highest among among 116 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .336 — 14th Percentile.
Josh Taylor has walked 1 of 33 right-handed batters (3%) over the last 30 days (9 games) — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (200/289) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (182/289) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (31/53) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (617/962) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals are just 5-53 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 8-10 (.444) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Royals are just 1-12 (.077) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Royals are just 32-65 (.330) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers are just 3-9 (.250) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Brewers are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Brewers are 20-12 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 16% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Royals hitters are slugging .445 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .594 (347 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Brewers hitters have 547 strikeouts in 2,058 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have 107 strikeouts in 347 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 726 of 7,750 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Brewers have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Royals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
