TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

Texas Tech's Pop Isaacs (2) looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Oklahoma State, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
(AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
  • Texas Tech (11-13) is a -5.5 point favorite vs TCU (15-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • TCU / Texas Tech TV channel: ESPN2

The TCU Horned Frogs (15-10) visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-13) on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lubbock, TX.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+5.5 -110O 146.5 -110+200
Texas Tech -5.5 -110U 146.5 -110-250

TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+7.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 3.76% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -11.96% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 5.57% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.