UFC 316: Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Predictions and Odds

Poland's Michal Oleksiejczuk grabs the leg of Kevin Holland during the first round of a middleweight bout at the UFC 302.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
  • The welterweight match between Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland will open the main card of the UFC 316 event.
  • The match will be held inside the Prudential Center in Newark on June 7.
  • Luque is the +180 betting underdog, while Holland is the -220 betting favorite.

The welterweight match between No. 14-ranked contender Vicente Luque and Kevin Holland will be the curtain-opener of the UFC 316 main card on June 7 at the Prudential Center in Newark.

Both are coming off bounce-back victories from their respective fights, but Holland heads into the bout as the betting favorite with -220 UFC odds, while Luque is the +180 betting underdog.

Read the preview and prediction of this exciting showdown below.

Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Odds

  • Vicente Luque: +180
  • Kevin Holland: -220

Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland: Prediction

I predict that Holland will win via knockout over Luque in this match because heโ€™s the more refined striker, and I believe that he can defend the takedowns that the Brazilian contender will attempt.

Holland will also have a massive advantage in physical attributes, with a 5.5-inch longer reach and a 2-inch longer leg reach. With this upper hand, Holland could touch and punish Luque with his vicious punches, especially his right hand, which is notorious for knocking out 13 of his previous opponents.

On the other hand, Luqueโ€™s best route to victory is to submit Holland and impose his BJJ black belt background. He needs to capitalize on the grappling exchanges where Holland often commit mistakes in scrambles.

However, I still believe that Hollandโ€™s superior striking skills will be the difference-maker in this match, and I see him knocking out Luque in the first two rounds to secure the victory and extend his current wining streak to two.

Vicente Luqueโ€™s Recent Fight Results

Luque was part of The Ultimate Fighter 21 in 2015, before earning a roster spot in the UFC. He made his octagon debut in December 2015 against Hayder Hassan and won via first-round submission.

Since then, he won 15 of his 20 bouts. In his last 10 outings, he accumulated a record of 6-4 and is coming off a first-round submission victory against Themba Gorimbo last December at UFC 310.

Kevin Hollandโ€™s Recent Fight Results

Holland was a former XKO champion before he found himself in Dana Whiteโ€™s Contender Series in June 2018. He performed well against Will Santiago Jr. during his stint in the competition to secure a UFC contract.

However, he had an inconsistent campaign and ended up with 14 wins, 10 losses, and one draw. Holland is fresh off a unanimous decision win over Gunnar Nelson last March at UFC London.

Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland: Tale of the Tape

Vicente LuqueKevin Holland
Age3332
Height5โ€™11โ€6โ€™3โ€
Reach75.5 inches81 inches
Leg Reach38 inches40 inches
Record23-10-127-13
Fighting StyleMuay ThaiKung Fu
Finishing Rate87%81%
Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

Anatoly Pimentel

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Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.