Based on Premier League odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook, my Premier League prediction for this week's top underdog bet is the Bournemouth Moneyline (+280).
Bournemouth have captured two straight wins, including on Matchday 8 as home underdogs against Arsenal.
While a red card aided the Cherries in that fixture, Andoni Iraola's side has produced strong attacking metrics as an underdog this season.
Although Bournemouth fell 3-1 at Villa Park last season, they operated without a number of key attackers. Still, they managed to take a lead before conceding three unanswered.
The match at the Vitality Stadium was much different, though. While recognizing it came in front of Bournemouth's support, it remains impressive the Cherries won the match 3.03-0.87 on post-shot expected goals.
Bournemouth also matches the historical profile of a team that wins outright in this spot on Sunday. They'll also enter the match with a rest advantage over Villa, which played a midweek Champions League fixture.
For a look at that betting system and additional analysis supporting a fade of Aston Villa, click the video above for my Premier League prediction.
