- The Liberty are 4.5-point favorite in their opener against the Aces.
- My Aces vs. Liberty prediction backs a strong start by New York.
Coming off their first title in franchise history, the New York Liberty will begin their 2025 season with a home matchup against the Las Vegas Aces at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday at the Barclays Center on ABC.
According to the latest WNBA odds, New York is favored to defeat Las Vegas in a rematch from the 2023 WNBA Finals. But can the new-look Aces pull off the upset?
Aces vs. Liberty Odds
- Aces spread: +4.5
- Liberty spread: -4.5
- Total: 168.5
Aces vs. Liberty Prediction & Best Bet
Based on the updated WNBA betting lines, I predict New York will get off to a strong start in Saturday’s Aces vs. Liberty showdown.
As of this writing, the BetMGM online sportsbook doesn’t offer first-half lines for this game. But I’d be willing to back the Liberty at -2.5 or better, though I’d imagine there will be a -2 available based on how the market has reacted toward the full-game line.
I’m also tempted to take the plus-money price on the Liberty to win the first half and full game.
These were the two best teams in the first half of games last year, but New York’s net rating (+11.4) was comfortably ahead of Las Vegas’ mark (+8.1). That includes a +18.5 net rating in the first half for the Liberty in their three head-to-head matchups with the Aces.
I expect the Aces to experience an adjustment period at the start of the season. In the offseason, they traded for Jewell Loyd, shaking up a championship core.
The Liberty, meanwhile, will kick off the season by playing in front of a terrific crowd on ring night. That should give them plenty of momentum at the start of this matchup.
Prediction: Liberty 1H spread (-2.5 or better)
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