- The – are favorites vs the –
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Thursday, May 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Angels vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 17-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-19 ATS.
Angels vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Angels vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Cardinals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cardinals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Cardinals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 15-16 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -7.64% ROI).
- 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -1.04% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 12-19 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -26% ROI).
- 10-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -38.97% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 7.81% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (43/121) against Griffin Canning this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 73% of the time (187/257) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total NonFB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
13 of Griffin Canning’s 15 strikeouts (87%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 56% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .125 (2 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Griffin Canning this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 95th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed a just .208 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .552 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 15th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 11 of 65 right-handed batters (17%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 21 of 137 batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed a batting average of just .132 vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .310 vs left-handed batters this season (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 15th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 20-10 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Angels are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Cardinals are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .261 (532 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have just 56 strikeouts in 306 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,149 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,591 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Cardinals hitters have 279 extra-base hits out of 656 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .343 (1,591 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 29 of 274 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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