- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Dodgers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SNLA | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+155) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Dodgers are 15-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 13-10 ATS.
Dodgers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-1, 4.44 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-1, 3.60 ERA
Dodgers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 7.5 +100 | -190 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -120 | +155 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Carter Kieboom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Carter Kieboom has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Drew Millas has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 12-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Nationals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| C.J. Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 42% (21/50) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
4 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (24/80) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 40% (10 SO in 25 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (44/86) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (20/50) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (13/27) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 202-32 (.863) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 85-39 (.685) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Dodgers are 107-64 (.626) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 22-40 (.355) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 49-86 (.363) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 64-109 (.370) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Nationals are just 42-67 (.385) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .357 (700 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,736 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (9,736 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .088 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .578 (285 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (118.7 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.0).
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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