Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (34-23) are -275 favorites vs the Tigers (23-34)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Toronto Blue Jays (-275) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+220) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 34-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 27-30 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-2.5 +100O 8.5 -115-275
Tigers +2.5 -120U 8.5 -105+220

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.65 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 26-31 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -10.02% ROI).

  • 34-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.41% ROI
  • 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -8.8% ROI
  • 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.59% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 27-30 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -6.02% ROI).

  • 23-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -11.4% ROI
  • 19-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -30.79% ROI
  • 35-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 23.01% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (226/505) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (729/1,014) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 44% (98/222) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 37% (107/289) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (58 Total Bases / 95 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .398 — second Percentile.

Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (28 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (8/78) against Beau Brieske when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Beau Brieske allowed a batting average of .295 vs right-handed batters (tied for 14th worst)– 12th Percentile and just .164 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for fifth best among non-qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are 18-10 (.643) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Blue Jays are 29-7 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 2-16 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Blue Jays are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are 7-1 (.875) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Tigers are just 1-24 (.040) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Tigers are just 3-17 (.150) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Tigers are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

The Blue Jays are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Blue Jays are batting .452 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (953 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

The Tigers are batting just .263 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (2,009 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 31 of 506 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 144 of 2,102 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 617 of 8,018 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Blue Jays have won 39% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
  • Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Grossman (Tigers): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.