- The Blue Jays (34-23) are -275 favorites vs the Tigers (23-34)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: , ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Toronto Blue Jays (-275) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+220) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 34-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 27-30 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +100 | O 8.5 -115 | -275 |
| Tigers | +2.5 -120 | U 8.5 -105 | +220 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.65 Units / 88% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 26-31 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -10.02% ROI).
- 34-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.41% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -8.8% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -1.59% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 27-30 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -6.02% ROI).
- 23-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -11.4% ROI
- 19-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -30.79% ROI
- 35-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 23.01% ROI
: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (226/505) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (729/1,014) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 44% (98/222) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 37% (107/289) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (58 Total Bases / 95 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .398 — second Percentile.
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (28 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .297 — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (8/78) against Beau Brieske when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Beau Brieske allowed a batting average of .295 vs right-handed batters (tied for 14th worst)– 12th Percentile and just .164 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for fifth best among non-qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 18-10 (.643) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Blue Jays are 29-7 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 2-16 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Blue Jays are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 7-1 (.875) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .668.
The Tigers are just 1-24 (.040) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are just 3-17 (.150) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Tigers are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Blue Jays are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Blue Jays are batting .452 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (953 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Tigers are batting just .263 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (2,009 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 31 of 506 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 144 of 2,102 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 617 of 8,018 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays have won 39% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
- Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Grossman (Tigers): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
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