Bucks vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 26

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | BSIN | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Pacers Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 36-47 against the spread, while the Pacers are 45-37 against the spread.


Bet now on Pacers vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bucks vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+6.5 -110O 223.5 -110+220
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -110U 223.5 -110-275

Pacers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Friday‘s game with 63.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pacers.

Pacers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.


Bet now on Pacers vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+13.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+5.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 58 games (+19.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+8.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 36-47 (-15.7 Units / -17.01% ROI).

  • 50-34 against the Moneyline (-42.4 Units / -14.54% ROI)
  • 42-42 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 42-42 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 45-37 (+4.3 Units / 4.6% ROI).

  • 48-37 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -0.54% ROI)
  • 42-41 against the Over for game total points (-3.15 Units / -3.41% ROI)
  • 41-42 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -5.63% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 58 games (-27.35 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (-50.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 70 games (-27.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 40 away games (-22.50 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.15 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

Keys to the game – away

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 10-29 (.256) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Pacers are 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Injury Report: Pacers vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Apr. 26

  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • AJ Green (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylin Galloway (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out For Season

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 47.1 points in the paint per game (3,864 points/82 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Bucks averaged 116.9 points per game (9,589 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pacers have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,251 assists/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,289 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4


Bet now on Pacers vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.