- The Orioles (24-35) are -120 favorites vs the Royals (20-37)
- Orioles starting pitcher: , ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Baltimore Orioles (-120) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 24-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 23-34 ATS.
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -110 | -120 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -110 | +100 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s matchup with 69.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.45 Units / 93% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 73% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 96% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+4.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 34-25 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 3.94% ROI).
- 24-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.83% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -13.1% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 5.64% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 23-34 against the Run Line (-21.85 Units / -27.83% ROI).
- 20-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.2 Units / -23.85% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -13.08% ROI
: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (43/188) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (9-for-47) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .334 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (38/131) against Tyler Wells in two-strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Tyler Wells has walked 8 of 160 left-handed batters (5%) since the start of last season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 92nd Percentile.
: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (33/87) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .363 (532 PA’s) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (13-for-26) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .332 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .321 (42-for-131) against Daniel Lynch versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: .218 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are just 9-20 (.310) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Orioles are just 5-19 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Royals are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Royals are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Royals are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 54% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 34% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 430 strikeouts in 2,255 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 50% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,716 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have a swing rate of 50% against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 58 double plays in 416 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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