- The Padres (61-46) are -300 favorites vs the Rockies (46-61)
- Rockies starting pitcher: , ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-300) on Thursday, August 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 46-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 51-56 ATS.
Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -125 | O 8 -115 | +240 |
| Padres | -2.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -300 |
Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Antonio Senzatela has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 104% ROI)
- Jose Azocar has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Joe Musgrove | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 56 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 96 games (+4.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 53 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 106 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 57-50 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.57% ROI).
- 46-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -4.54% ROI
- 50-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 51-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -3.71% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 51-56 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -4.16% ROI).
- 61-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 2.48% ROI
- 49-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 55-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.55% ROI
: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (165/319) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of just 61% (823/1,345) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (119/238) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 11% (16 SO in 146 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .135 (5-for-37) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (63 Total Bases / 221 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 84th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (102-for-627) against Joe Musgrove’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.7 MPH (305 batted balls) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 93rd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 41-48 (.461) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rockies are just 16-34 (.320) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Padres are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Padres are 30-24 (.556) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,408 of their 4,271 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters are slugging .234 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .326 (2,144 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Padres hitters are slugging just .367 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 961 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .174 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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