Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Padres (61-46) are -300 favorites vs the Rockies (46-61)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Colorado Rockies (+240) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-300) on Thursday, August 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 46-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 51-56 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+2.5 -125O 8 -115+240
Padres -2.5 +105U 8 -105-300

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Antonio Senzatela has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Mike Clevinger has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Jose Azocar has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)

Padres vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Josh Bell 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Juan Soto 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Padres vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Juan Soto 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Padres vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Nola 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Ha-seong Kim 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Josh Bell 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Juan Soto 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Padres vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
Joe Musgrove 6.5 -125 6.5 -115
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 56 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 96 games (+4.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 53 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 82 games (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 106 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 57-50 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.57% ROI).

  • 46-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 50-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -5.74% ROI
  • 51-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -3.71% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 51-56 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -4.16% ROI).

  • 61-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 2.48% ROI
  • 49-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 55-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.55% ROI

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (165/319) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of just 61% (823/1,345) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (119/238) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 11% (16 SO in 146 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .135 (5-for-37) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (63 Total Bases / 221 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 84th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .163 (102-for-627) against Joe Musgrove’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 95th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.7 MPH (305 batted balls) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 93rd Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 41-48 (.461) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rockies are just 16-34 (.320) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Padres are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Padres are 30-24 (.556) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,179 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,408 of their 4,271 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters are slugging .234 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .326 (2,144 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Padres hitters are slugging just .367 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.6

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 961 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .174 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.