- The Astros are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Oakland Athletics (+250) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-300) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 10-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 22-22 ATS.
Athletics vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +250 |
| Astros | -2.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -300 |
Athletics vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 88.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+9.15 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Astros vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Astros vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Astros vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Astros vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Hunter Brown | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 17-29 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -28.99% ROI).
- 10-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -44.42% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 13.44% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 22-22 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -4.7% ROI).
- 25-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -6.22% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has allowed 7 home runs with two-strikes this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (15/95) against JP Sears this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (34/122) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .440 (44 Total Bases / 100 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown allowed a batting average of .305 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .183 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .477 (44 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (63/119) against Hunter Brown this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 22-12 (.647) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Astros are 22-24 (.478) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Astros are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 22% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,601 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 398 strikeouts in 2,304 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 778 strikeouts in 4,385 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 77 strikeouts in 454 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 263 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.53 (174.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.08 (407.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Athletics pitchers have walked 226 of 1,906 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros have allowed 3.29 runs per game (336/102) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kenneth Waldichuk (Athletics): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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