- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Thursday, May 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 10-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 25-24 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -120 | +200 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -120 | U 7.5 +100 | -250 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 87.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+16.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+19.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+19.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Logan Gilbert | 7.5 +130 | 7.5 -175 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 19-32 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -27.84% ROI).
- 10-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.5 Units / -49.85% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 5.97% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -15.09% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 25-24 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.09% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 5% (5/94) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (27/106) against JP Sears this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (37/138) against JP Sears this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/65) against JP Sears in two-strike counts this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .102 (118 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .183 (118 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .502 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .054 (6-for-111) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 7% (1/15) against Logan Gilbert in late innings this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 0-5 (.000) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Athletics are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Athletics are just 10-41 (.196) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 88-3 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mariners are just 0-7 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Mariners are 87-7 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Mariners are 51-8 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 19% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .244 (213 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 248 of 2,088 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.99 (214.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.95 (447.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 123 of 1,809 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 47 of 958 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (27 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 22 of 426 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 574 of 7,839 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eugenio Suárez (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Allen Pollock (Mariners): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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