- The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears, 6.39 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans, 4.84 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Oakland Athletics (+120) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-145) on Thursday, March 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Surprise.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Athletics vs Rangers Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Athletics are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 8-10 ATS.
Athletics vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -155 | O 10 -110 | +120 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +130 | U 10 -110 | -145 |
Athletics vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Athletics vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chad Pinder has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+4.65 Units / 116% ROI)
- Dermis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chad Pinder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Stephen Piscotty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+1.10 Units / 55% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 70 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 90 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 151 games (+9.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+2.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -15.73% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -33.05% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 25.98% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 8-10 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -10.28% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -8.79% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -8.86% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
33% of JP Sears’ strikeouts were looking last season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
48% of JP Sears’ non-fastball strikeouts were located inside last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 92nd Percentile.
JP Sears located 42% of his pitches inside (452/1,079) last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
JP Sears had a strikeout rate of 24% (17/71) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans threw his changeup 37% of the time (109/292) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (23/68) versus Cole Ragans over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Cole Ragans threw his changeup 33% of the time (117/353) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 95th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed an OBP of .444 (27 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .282 — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Athletics are just 29-52 (.358) at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Athletics are just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Athletics are just 58-87 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 65-82 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers are just 23-75 (.235) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .278 (2,878 PA’s) at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters had an OBP of just .279 (4,331 PA’s) against RHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Athletics batted just .216 last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .925 (376 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rangers hitters slugged just .331 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days of the regular season (28 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Athletics have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 51% of their games last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported
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