- The Bengals are -6 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 42 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Cincinnati Bengals (2-4-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-5-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Browns Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -6 -110 | 42 -110 | -275 |
| Browns | +6 -110 | 42 -110 | +220 |
Bengals vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 39% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 3-3 (-0.15 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- Bengals are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -52.77% ROI
- Bengals are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.75 Units / 26.32% ROI
- Bengals are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 2-4 (-2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI).
- Browns are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -71.51% ROI
- Browns are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Browns are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Bengals were 4-7 (.364) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
The Bengals were 7-1 (.875) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Bengals were 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.
The Bengals are 2-4 (.333) this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Browns are 1-5 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.
The Browns are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .449.
The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Bengals have scored on 58% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals committed 5 turnovers in the red zone last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Bengals have averaged -0.75 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have run successful plays on 34% of pass attempts on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns have averaged 0.00 epa per play against open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.39.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 6% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Browns have run successful plays on 27% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 57% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense has tackled opponents for a loss on just 53 of 636 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) since the 2023 season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bengals defense has averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (204 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) this season — 3rd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 13.9.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed -0.11 epa per play first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 18% of rush attempts with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Browns vs Bengals and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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