- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+155) visit Charlotte Sports Park to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Port Charlotte, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 5-7 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +155 |
| Rays | -190 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -24.76% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -22.43% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -11.62% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.34% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 5-7 against the Run Line (-3.14 Units / -20.92% ROI).
- 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -29.23% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.73 Units / -5.53% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.83 Units / -6.26% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has limited playing time.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (95/490) versus Zach Eflin in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin walked 24 of 703 batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Eflin had a strike rate of 69% (1,777/2,577) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (11 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .334 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
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