- The White Sox are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes, 7.71 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn, 7.50 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Chicago White Sox (-110) on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 4-5 ATS.
Brewers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 9.5 -115 | -110 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 9.5 -105 | -110 |
Brewers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Leury Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 9.71% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -22.94% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 12.5% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -8.42% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -37.62% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 28.57% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (316/530) since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (897/1,458) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located 67% of his pitches down (1,150/1,719) vs left-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located 65% of his pitches down (516/800) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn walked 19 of 512 batters (4%) last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (67/353) against Lance Lynn since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Lance Lynn walked 8 of 289 left-handed batters (3%) last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Brewers are just 9-35 (.205) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Brewers are just 67-8 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Brewers are 9-53 (.145) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Brewers are just 61-13 (.824) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 27-6 (.818) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters averaged 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers batted just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Brewers hitters struck out 440 times in 1,711 PA’s (26%) against LHP last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters drew 39 walks in 771 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .476 (312 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .655.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
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