- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-130) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 11-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 20-14 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +100 | +105 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -120 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+22.65 Units / 93% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+18.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 13-22 against the Run Line (-12.2 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- 11-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -42.74% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -5.02% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -4.19% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 20-14 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 15.96% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -18.88% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 9.52% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .476 (40 Total Bases / 84 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .802 (89 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .507 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (26/75) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (58/334) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (37/54) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 11 of 40 batters (28%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (65/108) against Marcus Stroman this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .235 (4-for-17) against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 — 92nd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 8-3 (.727) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Cardinals are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 8-4 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .851.
The Cardinals are just 11-22 (.333) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 38-21 (.644) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Cubs are just 39-27 (.591) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Cubs are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Cubs are just 10-47 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 31% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .802 (1,654 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .841 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (608 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Cubs are batting just .258 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters are slugging .331 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are batting .209 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 21 of 307 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (783 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (304.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Cubs pitchers have walked 27 of 461 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Concussion, D7
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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