- The Yankees are -210 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford, 1.80 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The St. Louis Cardinals (+170) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-210) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Tampa.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Cardinals vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 4-2 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -105 | +170 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -120 | U 9 -115 | -210 |
Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 away games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 25.1% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 3.8% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.73% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.91% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 23.03% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 18.85% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 57.78% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -67.44% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (52/315) against Jake Woodford since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 32% (74 SO in 231 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford had a strikeout rate of just 13% (24/188) last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 11% (14 SO in 126 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.
51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 38% (253/672) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (113/317) against Gerrit Cole when he was behind in the count last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 890 walks in 8,783 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees batted just .214 with two outs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.176 (2,320 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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