Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 11:34 AM
  • The Yankees are -210 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford, 1.80 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole, 0.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on YES

The St. Louis Cardinals (+170) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-210) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Tampa.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Cardinals vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 4-2 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 +100O 9 -105+170
Yankees -1.5 -120U 9 -115-210

Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 63.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • No trends found
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 away games (+10.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 25.1% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 3.8% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.73% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 5.91% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 23.03% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 18.85% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 57.78% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -67.44% ROI

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (52/315) against Jake Woodford since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 32% (74 SO in 231 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Woodford had a strikeout rate of just 13% (24/188) last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 11% (14 SO in 126 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.

51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts came on 97+ MPH fastballs last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has struck out 38% (253/672) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (113/317) against Gerrit Cole when he was behind in the count last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have drawn 890 walks in 8,783 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees batted just .214 with two outs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.176 (2,320 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.