- Bayern Munich is a -0.5-goal favorite against Manchester United.
- Bayern Munich have already won the group, and beat United 4-3 on Matchday 1.
- Manchester United need to win, plus Copenhagen-Galatasaray draw to advance.
Before Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League fixture, I’m set to provide a Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich prediction.
Barring a complete surprise, United will likely exit the Champions League in the group stage. The Red Devils need a win on Tuesday and help in the other Group A match to reach the knockouts.
That’s a tall task for United, who lost 4-3 in Germany to Bayern Munich. In good news for Tuesday’s hosts, Bayern look vulnerable following a 5-1 weekend defeat in Frankfurt.
Here’s how the Champions League odds shape up for Tuesday’s match.
Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich Odds
- Manchester United to Win: +170
- Bayern Munich to Win: +130
- Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich Draw: +290
- Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich Over/Under is 3.5 Goals
Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich Prediction
Based on recent trends, the spread prediction for Manchester United vs. Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich Draw, No Bet (-140).
My prediction is based on up-to-date player injuries for both teams, expected goal trends and recent player performances.
Bettors seem to be getting a huge discount on Bayern given their perceived lack of motivation.
However, this is simultaneously a squad that has avoided defeat in 35 straight Champions League group stage games, including ones that carried no meaning.
Simply put, Manchester United has to go for it in this game. They need a win and a Copenhagen-Galatasaray draw to advance to the knockout rounds.
However, that’s going to leave an already terrible defense vulnerable to a great Bayern Munich attack.
Over the weekend against Bournemouth, United surrendered 2.12 post-shot expected goals and three big scoring chances, per fotmob.com.
In their previous match against Chelsea, they allowed 1.5 expected goals and five big scoring chances.
Conversely, the United attack generated next-to-nothing against Bayern in the previous meeting until the game was out of reach.
In the first half, they created only 0.32 expected goals. Of their 1.67 expected goals, 1.2 came after they went down 3-1.
Bayern also lost 5-1 over the weekend to Frankfurt, so I expect they’ll come out wanting to avenge that showing.
Take the visitors to do no worse than a draw at -145 or better.
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