- Alabama is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Michigan
- Alabama vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Alabama Crimson Tide (9-3) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (7-5) on Dec. 31 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Alabama is a betting favorite in the ReliaQuest Bowl, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Alabama vs. Michigan Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Alabama vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama | -10.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -375 |
| Michigan | +10.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +300 |
Alabama vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Alabama vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Michigan vs Alabama and all games with BetMGM
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Justice Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jam Miller has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kalel Mullings has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tyler Morris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.32% ROI).
- Alabama is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -5.37% ROI
- Alabama is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Alabama is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI).
- Michigan is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 15.5% ROI
- Michigan is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Michigan is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .503
Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Alabama is 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .627
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Michigan is undefeated (21-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .781
Michigan is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
Michigan is undefeated (21-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .749
Michigan is 16-1 (.941) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .602
Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Michigan
Michigan has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,603 yards on 179 receptions (just 9.0 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s WRs has gained 2,103 yards on 134 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs have averaged 28.1 yards per reception (842 yards/30 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (1,122 yards/52 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama QBs have 28 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama WRs have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (1,122 yards/52 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,603 yards on 179 receptions (just 9.0 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed 12.0 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs this season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 8%
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 34 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Alabama has allowed 191.1 Passing Yards per game (4,969/26) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 216.7
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 34 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 436 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
Michigan allowed 8 touchdowns on 229 completions (28.6 Completions Per TD) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.8
Michigan has allowed 275.4 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 370.8
Michigan has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big Ten
Michigan has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 66 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
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