- Central Florida is a -6 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Arizona vs. UCF Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Arizona Wildcats (3-5) visit FBC Mortgage Stadium to take on the UCF Knights (3-5) on Nov. 2 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Central Florida is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Arizona vs. UCF Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona | +6 -110 | 55.5 -105 | +180 |
| UCF | -6 -110 | 55.5 -115 | -225 |
Arizona vs UCF Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 66.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Central Florida vs Arizona and all games with BetMGM
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona Player Prop Bets Today
- Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Montana Lemonious-Craig has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Best Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Randy Pittman Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Whittemore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 1-7 against the spread this college football season (-6.8 Units / -75.98% ROI).
- Arizona is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -4.63% ROI
- Arizona is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Arizona is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.25 Units / -2.87% ROI).
- UCF is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -29.07% ROI
- UCF is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
- UCF is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Arizona is 10-2 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .598
Arizona is 11-4 (.688) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .585
Arizona is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Arizona is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .674
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
UCF is winless (0-1) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .414
UCF is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .475
UCF is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .494
UCF is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. UCF
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 189 attempts this season — T-13th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.9% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF has 106 receptions in 8 games (just 13.2 per game) this season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.8 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF has 106 receptions in 8 games (just 13.2 per game) this season — 10th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona’s defense has allowed 18.8 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona have 258.5 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 247.2 receiving yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona have 258.5 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 247.2 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona’s TEs has been targeted 51 times this season — 3rd-most among Big 12 TEs. UCF’s defense has allowed 1,978 receiving yards this season — 4th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona Skill Players have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (455 yards/23 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Arizona RBs have averaged 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (111 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Arizona TEs have been targeted 5.5 times per game (33/6) in the 2nd half this season– highest among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.7
Arizona WRs have averaged 19.6 yards per reception (744 yards/38 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.4
Arizona RBs had 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF Skill Players have caught just 2 of 15 passes (13% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 58%
UCF Skill Players have caught just 18 of 54 passes (33% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 57%
UCF RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
UCF Skill Players have caught just 2 of 15 passes (13% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
UCF WRs have averaged 24.6 yards per reception (345 yards/14 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 11 carries on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 22%
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 49 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.
Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (23 completions/29 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Arizona has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 11 rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 20%
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 28 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has allowed 5.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 43 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
UCF sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (3/24) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
UCF has allowed 5.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 43 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.6
UCF has not recorded a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3
UCF has allowed 11 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
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