- Arizona St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Texas State
- Arizona State vs. Texas State Total(Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0) visit UFCU Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (2-0) on Sep. 12 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Texas State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Arizona State vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona State | -1.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | -120 |
| Texas State | +1.5 -110 | 59.5 -110 | +100 |
Arizona State vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Arizona State vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Texas State and key player performances this season.
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Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 41.24% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Texas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 76.92% ROI
- Texas State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Texas State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
Arizona State is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .324
Arizona State is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Arizona State is 2-9 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Arizona State is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .411
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Texas State is 6-3 (.545) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405
Texas State is 4-11 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Texas State is 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .390
Texas State is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .567
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Texas State
Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 2 games (just 163.5 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas State’s defense has allowed 244.5 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State have just 163.5 receiving yards per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense has allowed 244.5 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s QBs has thrown for 327 passing yards in 2 games (just 163.5 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Texas State’s defense has allowed 244.5 passing yards per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Arizona State WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.1
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State RBs have rushed for 11 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State RBs have fumbled 10 times since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Texas State WRs have averaged 12.1 receptions per game (182/15) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.9
Texas State WRs have averaged 18.0 receptions per game (270/15) since the 2023 season– 14th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State has allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 38.0
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State has allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 113 of 548 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Texas State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 16 of 45 carries (36%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 17%
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 59 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Texas State has averaged 3.0 sacks per game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 61 of 275 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
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