Army vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

North Texas wide receiver Damon Ward Jr. sprints after the snap during the second half of an NCAA football game against UTEP on Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in El Paso, Texas. (AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
(AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
  • Army is a -5.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
  • Army vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Army Black Knights (8-0) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (5-3) on Nov. 9 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Army vs. North Texas Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Army vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Army-5.5 -11063.5 -110-210
North Texas +5.5 -11063.5 -110+170

Army vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Army vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Army has hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.85 Units / 8% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kanye Udoh has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dewayne Coleman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.94% ROI).

  • Army is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 9.6% ROI
  • Army is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI
  • Army is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI).

  • North Texas is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 16% ROI
  • North Texas is 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
  • North Texas is 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

Army is undefeated (8-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

Army is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .560

Army is undefeated (8-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .590

Army is 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .635

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Army

North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .625

North Texas is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

North Texas is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .435

North Texas is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373

Matchup Notes for Army vs. North Texas

North Texas’s WRs has gained 2,592 yards on 177 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas’s WRs has gained 5,987 yards on 420 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas’s offense has thrown for 2,973 passing yards in 8 games (371.6 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 188.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s WRs has averaged 17.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.7% of 229 attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Army’s WRs has gained 400 yards on 18 receptions (22.2 YPR) this season — best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 15.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army WRs have been targeted 3.8 times per game (30/8) this season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.6

Army WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (400 yards/18 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Army Skill Players have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (750 yards/39 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Army Skill Players have been targeted 2.1 times per game (17/8) in the 2nd half this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Army Skill Players have averaged 27.9 yards per reception (391 yards/14 catches) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas’s WRs has gained 2,592 yards on 177 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas WRs have averaged 21.0 receptions per game (420/20) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

North Texas’s WRs has gained 5,987 yards on 420 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas’s offense has thrown for 2,973 passing yards in 8 games (371.6 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 188.5 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s WRs has gained 5,987 yards on 420 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army sacked opposing QBs on 30% of pass attempts (6/20) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Army has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 29 carries (9.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.3

Army sacked opposing QBs on 30% of pass attempts (6/20) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Army has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 29 carries (9.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Army has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 211 carries (70.3 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.7

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has forced one fumble on 302 carries this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.2

North Texas has forced one fumble on 302 carries this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.8

North Texas has allowed 212.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 142.2

North Texas has forced 7 fumbles on 846 carries (120.9 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.2

North Texas has forced 7 fumbles on 846 carries (120.9 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.